Analysis archive
EUR/USD
Recommendation history — all past assessments at a glance. View current analysis →
Sep 17, 2026, 3:38 AM
1.1500 round number acting as pivot — break above 1.1534 June swing high opens 1.1600; failure below 1.1440 200-day MA targets 1.1350 prior consolidation zone.
Sep 16, 2026, 8:28 PM
1.1467 now below key 1.1500 round support — next structural floor is 1.1380 (June swing low). USD/JPY +0.7% and gold -0.7% confirm a dollar-led move; any bounce into 1.1500–1.1520 is a sell zone, not a recovery signal.
Sep 16, 2026, 1:29 PM
1.1537 sits between 1.1500 floor and 1.1600 ceiling — a break of either resolves the range. Gold +1.4% pressures USD mildly bullish for EUR; oil -2.1% cuts inflation risk and reduces Fed pressure to stay tight.
Sep 16, 2026, 3:39 AM
1.1544 consolidates below the 2026 swing high near 1.1620 — break above opens 1.1750. Gold surging +1% and oil sliding -1.5% signal USD softness that underpins EUR strength.
Sep 15, 2026, 8:46 PM
1.1540 trades inside a tight 1.1480–1.1600 range; a daily close above 1.1600 opens 1.1750, while a break below 1.1480 targets 1.1350 200-day MA.
Sep 15, 2026, 1:27 PM
1.1500 round-number support holds, but four failed tests of 1.1600 confirm a ceiling — break either side resolves a multi-week compression; bias tilts neutral until one level cracks on volume.
Sep 15, 2026, 3:41 AM
1.1500 is the pivot: a daily close below opens 1.1430 (50-day MA); above 1.1580 targets the 2026 swing high at 1.1620. Risk-reward favours waiting for a confirmed break before adding exposure.
Sep 14, 2026, 8:52 PM
1.1570 pivot lost intraday — next structural support at 1.1480 (June swing low). USD bid broad-based: DXY strength confirmed by GBP/USD -0.2%, USD/JPY +0.6%. A daily close below 1.1500 opens 1.1380 Fib zone.
Sep 14, 2026, 2:06 PM
1.1500 round-number support tested now — a daily close below flips near-term bias to 1.1380 (May swing low). USD broad bid confirmed by USD/JPY breaking 154 and gold selling off 1.9% simultaneously.
Sep 14, 2026, 3:39 AM
1.1575 now acting as intraday pivot; failure to reclaim 1.1600 (round number / recent high) opens a retest of 1.1480 weekly support. Oil shock is the key USD tailwind today.
Sep 11, 2026, 8:30 PM
1.1600 is the line in the sand: four consecutive sessions of rejection here cap near-term upside. Break above opens 1.1750; failure risks a pullback to 1.1400 200-day MA support.
Sep 11, 2026, 1:36 PM
1.1600 acting as pivot; break below flips bias to 1.1540 (50-day MA). Gold at 4,388 and JPY strength signal risk-off USD selling, but EUR bulls need a close above 1.1650 to regain momentum.
Sep 11, 2026, 3:38 AM
1.1650 resistance caps the rally; a daily close above it opens 1.1800 (2023 high). Below 1.1530 (50-day MA), bulls lose structural control and 1.1380 comes into view.
Sep 10, 2026, 8:30 PM
1.1610 holds for now, but rejection at 1.1700 round-number resistance with gold down 1.8% signals risk-off USD demand — break of 1.1550 opens 1.1400 38.2% Fib.
Sep 10, 2026, 2:05 PM
1.1600 pivots the short-term structure — hold it and 1.1640 resistance is back in play; break it and 1.1550 100-day MA becomes the line in the sand with ECB guidance void creating a vacuum.
Sep 10, 2026, 3:38 AM
1.1637 consolidates above 1.1600 round support; break above 1.1720 April 2023 high opens 1.1900. USD/JPY softness at 153.4 confirms broad dollar retreat — EUR benefits directly.
Sep 9, 2026, 9:08 PM
ECB decision Thursday — a hawkish hold or further rate signal pushes EUR above 1.1640 resistance and opens 1.1700. USD softness and gold at $4,397 confirm dollar bears in control near-term.
Sep 9, 2026, 1:31 PM
1.1648 consolidates above 1.1600 while gold at $4,413 and oil at $93.7 signal risk-off USD selling; a clean break above 1.1700 opens 1.1750 2024 high — failure stalls at 1.1680 intraday resistance.
Sep 9, 2026, 3:39 AM
1.1631 holds above 1.1600 key round support; break above 1.1680 May swing high opens 1.1800 target. Dollar broadly offered as USD/JPY -0.3% and gold +0.5% signal risk-off dollar selling.
Sep 8, 2026, 8:35 PM
1.1600 is the fulcrum: NFP-driven 40-pip drop was fully retraced, but ECB and US CPI this week set the next directional break. Neither side has conviction above 1.1650 or below 1.1560.
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