EUR/USD

Bearish

Archived analysis from Sep 16, 2026, 8:28 PM

Key insight

1.1467 now below key 1.1500 round support — next structural floor is 1.1380 (June swing low). USD/JPY +0.7% and gold -0.7% confirm a dollar-led move; any bounce into 1.1500–1.1520 is a sell zone, not a recovery signal.

Dropped 0.65% to 1.1467, breaking below the 1.1500 round-number support — USD strength broad-based with USD/JPY at 156.2 and GBP/USD -0.7%, signalling a dollar bid, not a EUR-specific story.

Main risk

Fed hawkish hold vs. ECB cut divergence

Widens rate differential further in USD's favour; break below 1.1380 opens 1.1200 — watch next central bank guidance closely.

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