EUR/USD
NeutralArchived analysis from Sep 15, 2026, 3:41 AM
Key insight
1.1500 is the pivot: a daily close below opens 1.1430 (50-day MA); above 1.1580 targets the 2026 swing high at 1.1620. Risk-reward favours waiting for a confirmed break before adding exposure.
Holds 1.1500 round number but fades from 1.1600 resistance; USD bid on USD/JPY strength to 154.7 and oil at $99 keeps EUR/USD capped in a tight consolidation band.
Main risk
USD re-acceleration on oil/rate shock
Oil at $99 stokes US inflation fears; a hawkish Fed pivot would spike DXY and drive EUR/USD below 1.1430 50-day MA.
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