Analysis archive

EUR/USD

Recommendation history — all past assessments at a glance. View current analysis →

Sep 8, 2026, 1:31 PM
1.1650 rejected Monday after Eurozone data spike — pair pinned between ECB decision Thu and US CPI; break either side determines next 100-pip leg.
Neutral
Sep 8, 2026, 3:38 AM
1.1625 holds as near-term base — a daily close above 1.1680 opens the 2022 swing high at 1.1495... no: confirmed above 1.1500 resistance cluster targets 1.1750 next. Gold +0.7% and yen strength confirm risk-off USD selling; EUR benefits directly.
Bullish
Sep 7, 2026, 8:30 PM
1.1622 trades near multi-year highs — break and close above 1.1650 opens the 2023 peak at 1.1275... wait: 1.1750 is next key resistance; failure returns price to 1.1500 breakout support fast.
Bullish
Sep 7, 2026, 1:30 PM
1.1630 seller zone caps upside — rejection here twice this week; ECB Sep 10 decision is the next binary catalyst that resolves direction toward 1.1700 or 1.1550.
Neutral
Sep 7, 2026, 3:42 AM
1.1611 consolidates above 1.1600 pivot — a clean weekly close above 1.1650 opens the 2023 high at 1.1275... no, targets 1.1800. Dollar softness structural; ECB rate path is the key swing variable near-term.
Bullish
Sep 4, 2026, 8:34 PM
1.1613 rejection off 1.1700 round-number resistance signals near-term dollar recovery; hold below 1.1650 keeps bears in control targeting 1.1480 Fibonacci 38.2% of 2025 rally.
Bearish
Sep 4, 2026, 1:32 PM
1.1600 acts as pivot: bulls need a weekly close above 1.1650 to open 1.1720; bears need a break of 1.1540 Fibonacci 38.2% retracement to shift momentum. Friday NFP or Fed speaker risk keeps range intact for now.
Neutral
Sep 4, 2026, 3:38 AM
1.1628 trades near multi-year highs; break above 1.1700 round resistance opens 1.1850 (2023 swing high). Failure to clear 1.17 by end of Sept risks pullback to 1.1450 50-day MA.
Bullish
Sep 3, 2026, 8:30 PM
1.1629 holds above the 2025 breakout zone near 1.1500 — sustained dollar weakness, with USD/JPY at 155.8 and falling, keeps the path open to the 1.17 round-number target.
Bullish
Sep 3, 2026, 1:43 PM
1.1594 EMA defending near-term bull structure; NFP Friday is the binary catalyst — beat risks flush to 1.1520, miss opens 1.1700 retest.
Bullish
Sep 3, 2026, 3:46 AM
1.1600 round number acting as near-term pivot — sustained close above it opens 1.1700 (2022 swing high). USD softness reinforced by gold +0.9% and yen rally; EUR momentum intact while 1.1500 holds.
Bullish
Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM
1.1600 round number caps near-term upside — break and hold above opens 1.1750 (2023 swing high). Gold surging +1.4% and USD/JPY falling 1% confirm broad USD weakness, a structural tailwind for EUR/USD.
Bullish
Sep 2, 2026, 2:05 PM
1.16 round number capping upside; break above confirmed only on daily close over 1.1650 (2026 range highs). Failure to hold 1.1530 (50-day MA) reopens 1.1450 retracement support.
Neutral
Sep 1, 2026, 8:32 PM
1.1580 channel support holds short-term fate — break below opens 1.1480 Aug swing low. Eurozone Aug HICP due today; weak print accelerates USD bid with Fed at 3.75% vs ECB at 2.40%.
Bearish
Sep 1, 2026, 1:30 PM
1.1550 (50-day MA) is the first line in the sand — lose it and 1.1480 opens fast. USD bid is broad: JPY, GBP, EUR all lower while oil spikes, compressing EUR purchasing power advantage.
Bearish
Sep 1, 2026, 3:39 AM
1.1600 is the pivot — bulls need a daily close above 1.1650 to target 1.1750; a break below 1.1550 opens 1.1400 quickly. Dollar tone and ECB-Fed divergence drive direction from here.
Neutral
Aug 31, 2026, 8:30 PM
1.1616 consolidates near multi-year resistance at 1.17 — break and hold opens 1.20; failure reverses to 1.1450 50-day MA. Direction hinges on upcoming US jobs and ISM data.
Bullish
Aug 31, 2026, 1:30 PM
1.1600 psychological level holds as immediate pivot — break and close above 1.1650 (May 2025 swing high) opens the path to 1.1800. Failure re-tests 1.1500 weekly support.
Bullish
Aug 31, 2026, 3:39 AM
1.1600 round number holds as near-term pivot; a clean close above 1.1650 resistance opens 1.1750 — the 2024 swing high. Dollar weakness driven by Fed easing cycle underpins the pair against a backdrop of broad risk-off equity selling.
Bullish
Aug 28, 2026, 9:07 PM
1.1586 fails to hold 1.16 handle on a Friday close — dollar bid accelerates with gold and crypto both down 3%+, signalling a broad risk-off USD rally that targets 1.1480 next.
Bearish
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