EUR/USD

Neutral

Archived analysis from Sep 15, 2026, 1:27 PM

Key insight

1.1500 round-number support holds, but four failed tests of 1.1600 confirm a ceiling — break either side resolves a multi-week compression; bias tilts neutral until one level cracks on volume.

Holds 1.1500 round number but stalls below 1.1600 resistance; USD/JPY +0.4% signals mild dollar bid keeping EUR/USD capped in a tight range pending next macro catalyst.

Main risk

Fed higher-for-longer policy path

Renewed USD strength on any hawkish Fed signal would push EUR/USD through 1.1480 50-day MA, opening 1.1350.

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