EUR/USD

Bearish

Archived analysis from Sep 14, 2026, 8:52 PM

Key insight

1.1570 pivot lost intraday — next structural support at 1.1480 (June swing low). USD bid broad-based: DXY strength confirmed by GBP/USD -0.2%, USD/JPY +0.6%. A daily close below 1.1500 opens 1.1380 Fib zone.

Slipped -0.44% to 1.1547, breaking below the 1.1570 intraday pivot as USD rebounds on JPY strength (154.4) and rising oil ($98.3) lifting inflation expectations, pressuring the pair toward 1.1480 support.

Main risk

Fed policy divergence vs ECB

Sticky oil at $98.3 keeps US inflation elevated, delaying Fed cuts and widening USD rate advantage over EUR — bearish below 1.1570.

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