EUR/USD
BullishArchived analysis from Sep 16, 2026, 3:39 AM
Key insight
1.1544 consolidates below the 2026 swing high near 1.1620 — break above opens 1.1750. Gold surging +1% and oil sliding -1.5% signal USD softness that underpins EUR strength.
1.1500 holds as base; EUR/USD at 1.1544 trades above the 200-day MA near 1.1200, sustaining the 2026 uptrend while USD weakness and gold at $4,336 reinforce the bid.
Main risk
USD Safe-Haven Reversal
Snap USD bid above 1.1400 would invalidate the bull structure; 200-day MA at 1.1200 becomes next line of defense.
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