EUR/USD
NeutralArchived analysis from Sep 11, 2026, 3:38 AM
Key insight
1.1650 resistance caps the rally; a daily close above it opens 1.1800 (2023 high). Below 1.1530 (50-day MA), bulls lose structural control and 1.1380 comes into view.
1.1600 holds as near-term anchor — pair oscillates below the 1.1650 April 2025 swing high with no fresh catalyst to break either way.
Main risk
Fed vs ECB policy divergence flip
ECB rate path now broadly matched to Fed — any Fed dovish pivot widens rate differential in EUR's favour, spiking pair above 1.1650.
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