EUR/USD
BearishArchived analysis from Sep 14, 2026, 2:06 PM
Key insight
1.1500 round-number support tested now — a daily close below flips near-term bias to 1.1380 (May swing low). USD broad bid confirmed by USD/JPY breaking 154 and gold selling off 1.9% simultaneously.
Drops to 1.1500 round-number support as USD rallies across the board — USD/JPY +0.9% to 154.8 and DXY strength dominate; oil at $100 lifts US terms-of-trade, pressuring EUR.
Main risk
Oil spike to $100 fuelling USD demand
Oil +3% to $100.2 widens US energy-export advantage; historically lifts DXY and pressures EUR/USD below 1.15 pivots.
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