Analysis archive

S&P 500

Recommendation history — all past assessments at a glance. View current analysis →

Sep 17, 2026, 3:28 AM
7,596 extends above the 7,400 breakout shelf — bulls need a close above 7,620 round resistance to open 7,800; failure to hold 7,520 (50-day MA) re-opens 7,400.
Bullish
Sep 16, 2026, 8:17 PM
7,550 holding after hawkish FOMC shock — but 50-day MA at ~7,600 now flipped to resistance. Hold below it and bears target 7,400 Fib; reclaim it and 7,750 reopens.
Bearish
Sep 16, 2026, 1:18 PM
FOMC decision today (Sept 16): market-implied hike probability near 50% — break above 7,666 Aug high on a hold, or flush to 7,500 key support on a hike. Pick your side before 2 pm ET.
Neutral
Sep 16, 2026, 3:28 AM
7,603 consolidates near ATH zone; break above 7,650 opens 7,800. Gold +1% and silver +1.6% flag real-yield anxiety, but index breadth holds — Nasdaq +0.3% confirms tech bid still alive.
Bullish
Sep 15, 2026, 8:34 PM
7,591 consolidates just below the round 7,600 resistance; a daily close above opens 7,750. Oil at $101.8 and USD/JPY at 155.1 add margin-pressure risk to any extension.
Bullish
Sep 15, 2026, 1:18 PM
7,600 round-number support holding; break below exposes 7,400 ATH breakout zone. Sustained close above 7,650 opens path to 7,800 measured extension.
Bullish
Sep 15, 2026, 3:30 AM
7,620 acting as near-term ceiling — break below 7,580 (50-day MA) opens path to 7,500 analyst target ahead of Wednesday's FOMC rate decision.
Bearish
Sep 14, 2026, 8:40 PM
Fed decision Sept 15-16 is the binary gate: a hike delivers fresh selling pressure toward 7,500; a hold sparks a relief rally. Oil near $98-102 keeps the inflation-repricing trade alive and caps any rebound.
Bearish
Sep 14, 2026, 1:46 PM
7,600 round number acting as pivot — Nasdaq's -1.8% divergence and oil at $100 signal a rotation shock, not a broad sell-off. Bull case needs a close above 7,650 to regain momentum.
Neutral
Sep 14, 2026, 3:29 AM
7,621 sits in a compression zone: 50-day MA at 7,550 below, July swing high at 7,680 above. Nasdaq divergence (-1.3%) and Brent at $99 squeezing margins skew risk toward a retest of 7,550 before any extension higher.
Neutral
Sep 11, 2026, 8:18 PM
7,656 consolidates near all-time highs; a weekly close above 7,700 opens the 8,000 psychological target. Gold's surge to $4,348 signals real-money risk hedging — watch for rotation pressure on large-cap tech.
Bullish
Sep 11, 2026, 1:24 PM
7,663 trades at fresh highs; next key ceiling is 7,750 (Fib 161.8% extension). Gold +1.6% and USD/JPY -0.6% signal mild risk-off undercurrent — watch for divergence if Oil weakness (-3.2%) starts dragging energy earnings.
Bullish
Sep 11, 2026, 3:27 AM
7,600 round number tested intraday; sustained close above opens path to 7,750 extension. Nasdaq lagging (-0.2%) flags tech fatigue — watch divergence vs Dow (+0.2%) for rotation signal.
Bullish
Sep 10, 2026, 8:19 PM
7,597 consolidates just below 7,600 round-number resistance — a clean close above opens 7,800. Gold's -1.8% drop and BTC's -1.4% slide signal mild risk rotation but equity tape is resilient.
Bullish
Sep 10, 2026, 1:46 PM
7,598 holds above the 50-day MA near 7,480 but Nasdaq's -1.3% divergence signals tech fatigue. Oil at $97.8 threatens the disinflation narrative — a daily close below 7,520 opens a retest of 7,350.
Neutral
Sep 10, 2026, 3:28 AM
7,648 consolidates below the round 7,700 resistance — a daily close above flips momentum toward 8,000. Gold at 4,414 and oil at 93.8 signal risk-on with inflation tail risk.
Bullish
Sep 9, 2026, 8:46 PM
4.857% 10-yr yield is the fulcrum: holds here and equities face sustained multiple compression; CPI Sept 10 is the next binary catalyst for direction.
Bearish
Sep 9, 2026, 1:19 PM
7,651 sits in no-man's land: 50-day MA resistance near 7,720 above, 200-day MA floor at 7,480 below. Oil +2.7% and gold +1.3% both bid — classic late-cycle risk-off rotation that stalls equity momentum.
Neutral
Sep 9, 2026, 3:27 AM
7,679 holds as bull base — break above 7,750 (prior swing high) opens a run toward 7,850; European weakness and gold at $4,378 signal defensive flows that haven't yet derailed US tech leadership.
Bullish
Sep 8, 2026, 8:23 PM
7,740 August all-time high is the gate — no sustained breakout yet. Oil +1.1% to $92 lifts energy but raises stagflation concern; gold -1.0% signals real-yield lift. Hold range until catalyst.
Neutral
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