Analysis archive

Crude Oil (WTI)

Recommendation history — all past assessments at a glance. View current analysis →

Aug 28, 2026, 8:59 PM
83.00 round-number resistance stalls price; Hormuz flows at ~67% of pre-war levels per Goldman Sachs — full reopening needed to break the supply premium keeping WTI above $80.
Neutral
Aug 28, 2026, 1:27 PM
$82.22 sits in a compression zone between $80.50 support (50-day MA) and $84.00 resistance (200-day MA). A daily close outside this band sets the next directional move — failure below $80.50 opens $77.00.
Bearish
Aug 28, 2026, 3:36 AM
$82.78 sits between 50-day MA at $83.50 (resistance) and 100-day MA at $81.20 (support) — break of either resolves the range. Firm dollar and weak risk appetite tilt probability toward the downside.
Bearish
Aug 27, 2026, 8:59 PM
83.22 holds above 200-day MA at 82.00 but stalls below 85.50 swing resistance — a break either side determines the next $5 move; current flatness reflects supply/demand stalemate.
Neutral
Aug 27, 2026, 1:28 PM
$82 is a fragile bounce: US diplomats returning to Mid-East embassies and tanker flows resuming through Hormuz strip the supply-shock narrative; hold below $84.50 (50-day MA) keeps bears in control.
Bearish
Aug 27, 2026, 3:37 AM
$81.39 holds above $80.00 round support but fails to reclaim the 50-day MA at $83.00 — bears control short-term momentum; a daily close below $80.00 opens $76.50 swing low.
Bearish
Aug 26, 2026, 8:26 PM
$83.50 (200-day MA) caps every rally attempt — until reclaimed, bears retain structural control and the $78 demand zone is the next meaningful test on a momentum breakdown.
Bearish
Aug 26, 2026, 1:43 PM
$80.54 trades below the 50-day MA; next hard floor is $79.20 June swing low. Failure there opens $76–$75 zone. Rebound needs a close back above $82.00 to neutralise the breakdown.
Bearish
Aug 26, 2026, 3:35 AM
$79.89 cracks 50-day MA at $81.50; next firm floor is $78.40 (200-day MA). A daily close below $78.40 opens $75.00. Upside capped at $83.00 prior swing high until sentiment shifts.
Bearish
Aug 25, 2026, 8:24 PM
$80.27 sits below the 50-day MA at $81.50; next hard support is $78.40 (200-day MA). A close under $80 would confirm short-term downtrend and expose the $76–$75 OPEC floor.
Bearish
Aug 25, 2026, 1:26 PM
$81.62 now exposed to $80 round-number test — a close below triggers a move toward the 200-day MA near $79.40. Equities rallying but oil decoupling signals demand-side concern, not supply disruption.
Bearish
Aug 25, 2026, 3:38 AM
$85.00 round-number resistance caps upside; break above opens $87.00 (June swing high). Failure to hold $83.50 (50-day MA) flips short-term bias bearish toward $80.50.
Neutral
Aug 24, 2026, 8:28 PM
84.78 sits between 50-day MA ~83.50 and $87.50 resistance; a clean break of either resolves the range. Gold's +1% rise signals macro unease that has not yet translated to oil demand bids.
Neutral
Aug 24, 2026, 1:27 PM
$85 round number holds for now, but a close below flips focus to the 200-day MA at $83.50. Gold's surge signals macro fear, not demand optimism — headwind for crude.
Bearish
Aug 24, 2026, 3:36 AM
Rejected at $87–$88 resistance zone; today's -1.6% pullback tests the $85 round number — hold here and the Hormuz premium stays intact for a re-attack on $88.
Bullish
Aug 21, 2026, 8:25 PM
$86.48 sits between the 200-day MA at ~$84.20 and the July swing high at $89.40 — no breakout, no breakdown. Gold's +2.2% spike flags macro stress; oil needs a demand catalyst to clear $89.40 or risks fading to $84.
Neutral
Aug 21, 2026, 1:24 PM
$86.54 sits in a compression zone: 50-day MA ~$85.20 below, $88.00 swing resistance above. Gold +1.4% and BTC +6.2% absorb risk appetite, leaving Oil directionless into the weekly close.
Neutral
Aug 21, 2026, 3:36 AM
$86.50 resistance being probed now — Trump's Iran sanctions kill near-term Hormuz resolution, keeping ~20M bbl/day of seaborne supply at risk. Break and hold above $86.50 opens $89–$90 zone.
Bullish
Aug 20, 2026, 8:39 PM
$86.41 sits mid-range between $84 MA support and $89 resistance; a break of either resolves direction. USD/JPY at 159.1 adds dollar headwind; OPEC+ compliance data is the near-term catalyst.
Neutral
Aug 20, 2026, 1:24 PM
$86.46 clears the 200-day MA at $85.20 — first clean close above it in weeks. Bulls need $87.50 (Aug swing high) to hold for momentum to extend toward $90.
Bullish
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