Crude Oil (WTI)

Bearish

Archived analysis from Oct 13, 2026, 1:25 PM

Key insight

$92.30 holds above 50-day MA ($91.80) but stalls below $94.50 swing resistance — a daily close under $91.80 opens $88.40 Aug swing low; hold above keeps $96-$97 range intact.

Slides -0.87% to $92.30, testing the 50-day MA at $91.80. USD strength (EUR/USD 1.1191 up, JPY 158.3) and demand fears cap any recovery above $94.50 near-term resistance.

Main risk

OPEC+ supply policy shift

Unexpected OPEC+ output increase would pressure WTI below $91.80 50-day MA, targeting $88.40 Aug swing low rapidly.

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