Analysis archive

Crude Oil (WTI)

Recommendation history — all past assessments at a glance. View current analysis →

Sep 8, 2026, 1:27 PM
$90 round number acting as pivot — break below confirms retest of $87.50 Aug swing low; reclaim of $92.50 (100-day MA) opens $95 resistance. Volume confirmation required on either side.
Neutral
Sep 8, 2026, 3:34 AM
$90.93 holds 3-month highs as two supertankers hit in Strait of Hormuz Mon night — next resistance at $93.50 Aug swing high; a confirmed Hormuz blockage targets $100+.
Bullish
Sep 7, 2026, 8:27 PM
$90 round number held as support; break above $92.50 (Aug swing high) opens a run toward $95. Supply cuts remain the dominant bid — fade only on a confirmed close below $89.50 (50-day MA).
Bullish
Sep 7, 2026, 1:26 PM
$90.62 tests the $91 resistance shelf — a confirmed close above opens $94–$95 swing-high zone. USD/JPY slide of -1.2% today signals broad dollar softness, a structural tailwind for crude denominated in USD.
Bullish
Sep 7, 2026, 3:39 AM
90.39 trades in a constructive range: 200-day MA at 88.50 is unbroken support; a close above 92.00 opens the Aug 2025 swing high at 94.80. Supply-side control from OPEC+ remains the dominant structural bid.
Bullish
Sep 4, 2026, 8:30 PM
$90 round number aligns with 50-day MA — rejection here reopens $86.50 Aug swing low; sustained close above flips target to $93.50 Oct 2025 resistance. Friday positioning ahead of weekend geopolitical risk keeps vol elevated.
Neutral
Sep 4, 2026, 1:28 PM
$88.93 sits in a fragile zone: 50-day MA at $88.20 below, prior resistance-turned-support at $89.50 above. A daily close under $88.20 opens $85.40; hold it and $92.00 is the next test.
Bearish
Sep 4, 2026, 3:35 AM
90.17 trades in a tight range below 92.50 resistance — a weekly close above that level opens 95.00. Failure to clear it by Friday close risks a pullback to 87.50 200-day MA support next week.
Bullish
Sep 3, 2026, 8:27 PM
90.14 sits in a compression zone between 89.00 support (50-day MA) and 92.50 resistance (Aug swing high). Break above 92.50 opens 95.00; failure below 89.00 flips structure bearish.
Bullish
Sep 3, 2026, 1:39 PM
$90 reclaimed and holding — next resistance at $92.50 (Aug swing high). Break above confirms bull leg; failure back below $89 reopens $86.40 200-day MA test.
Bullish
Sep 3, 2026, 3:43 AM
$89.72 holds above 200-day MA ($88.50) but fails $91.50 Aug swing high for a third week — no directional edge until one of those levels breaks with volume.
Neutral
Sep 2, 2026, 9:00 PM
89.28 holds above the 200-day MA at 85.00 but fails to reclaim 91.50 swing high — range-bound between those anchors until a supply or demand catalyst breaks the stalemate.
Neutral
Sep 2, 2026, 1:59 PM
88.64 consolidates below Tuesday's $90.50 spike high; a confirmed close above $90.50 opens the $93–$95 zone. Hormuz closure risk keeps the floor elevated near $85.80 200-day MA.
Bullish
Sep 2, 2026, 4:00 AM
$89.64 holds above the 50-day MA ($87.50) and prior range highs at $88.50 — break above $91.20 (Aug swing high) opens a run toward $93.50. Failure below $87.50 flips the short-term structure bearish.
Bullish
Sep 1, 2026, 8:28 PM
89.85 trades in the upper half of a $85–$93 consolidation range; a close above the 90.00 round-number resistance flips near-term momentum firmly bullish toward the 2026 swing high at 93.50.
Bullish
Sep 1, 2026, 1:26 PM
$87.30 breaks above Aug swing high; Hormuz ceasefire talks collapsed, Iranian retaliation hits UAE and Jordan — supply shock driver intact. Next resistance at $90.00 round number.
Bullish
Sep 1, 2026, 3:36 AM
85.88 tests key resistance cluster at 86.50 (Aug swing high). Break and hold above opens 88.40 (100-day MA). Failure reloads a dip to 84.50 support.
Bullish
Aug 31, 2026, 8:26 PM
$85.32 sits between 200-day MA support at $83.50 and $87.50 prior swing high resistance — a break either side resolves the two-week range and sets the next $4–5 directional leg.
Neutral
Aug 31, 2026, 1:26 PM
$85.00 round-number resistance tested intraday; break and close above opens $87–$89 Brent-equivalence zone. Hormuz rhetoric re-escalating after Aug diplomatic window closed with no deal.
Bullish
Aug 31, 2026, 3:36 AM
$84.44 clears 50-day MA (~$83.50) on a day equities sold off — divergence from S&P 500 (-0.4%) flags commodity-specific buying; next resistance at $85.80 Aug swing high. Hold above $83.00 to keep bull structure intact.
Bullish
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