Analysis archive

Crude Oil (WTI)

Recommendation history — all past assessments at a glance. View current analysis →

Oct 22, 2026, 1:26 PM
$100 psychological resistance is the line in the sand — clear it on US-Iran escalation and $105 opens fast; fail and $95 prior breakout support is the next test.
Bullish
Oct 22, 2026, 3:34 AM
$100 round-number resistance caps the rally — a weekly close above it opens the 2025 swing high at $103.50 and shifts medium-term momentum decisively long.
Bullish
Oct 21, 2026, 8:25 PM
$101.37 June contract high is the line in the sand — reclaim it and bulls target $106.75; fail and a 3-day flush toward $93.69 Fib support is on the table.
Bullish
Oct 21, 2026, 1:31 PM
$101.37 is the line in the sand: reclaim it and the uptrend resumes to $106.75; lose $95.25 and the bearish reversal top triggers a flush to the $93.69–$91.87 Fib zone. Price at $98.26 sits in no-man's land between both levels.
Neutral
Oct 21, 2026, 3:36 AM
$100.50 monthly high tested Tuesday; $102.11 five-month high is the next key hurdle. Trump's Russian-sanctions waiver caps upside but Hormuz risk floor stays intact near $95.
Bullish
Oct 20, 2026, 8:26 PM
98.26 stalls just below 100.00 round-number resistance; a confirmed close above unlocks 103.50 (2026 swing high). Flat European equities and near-zero 24h change signal consolidation, not reversal.
Bullish
Oct 20, 2026, 1:25 PM
$100 round-number resistance is the line in the sand — break and hold above it flips momentum decisively; rejection here risks a pullback to $95 50-day MA support before next leg higher.
Bullish
Oct 20, 2026, 3:34 AM
$100 reclaimed then lost — Sept 14 high at $104.95 is the next bull trigger; $90.50 (50-day EMA) remains distant floor. Russia supply waiver caps upside; Hormuz choke keeps downside shallow.
Bullish
Oct 19, 2026, 8:26 PM
Two forces collide at $98.45: Russia sanctions waiver opens supply, Hormuz tanker attacks tighten it. Sept 14 swing high at $104.95 is the bull trigger; $96.91 intraday low is the bear line.
Neutral
Oct 19, 2026, 1:27 PM
$100 round number rejected on first test — Trump's Graham Act waiver reopens Russian supply channel, unwinding the week-long Hormuz/Houthi risk premium. Hold below $100 confirms bearish reversal; reclaim needed to relaunch bull case.
Bearish
Oct 19, 2026, 3:37 AM
Pulls back -1.7% to $97.61 after Trump waived Graham Act sanctions on Russia, boosting potential supply. Geopolitical floor at $94.28 (key Fib) vs. $101.41 Friday high — range trade until next catalyst.
Neutral
Oct 16, 2026, 8:25 PM
$100 round-number resistance caps the rally; a daily close above it opens 2025 swing high at $103.50. Failure to break within 1-2 sessions risks a pullback to 50-day MA near $95.80.
Bullish
Oct 16, 2026, 1:24 PM
Pulls back from Thursday's $97.97 settlement after Trump ruled out nuclear strike, trimming geopolitical premium; $97.50 short-term resistance intact. Bull thesis holds while price stays above 20-day EMA at $92.29.
Bullish
Oct 16, 2026, 3:35 AM
$96 rejected again — price stuck below the $97.50 supply zone with no conviction bid. Break of $94.50 (200-day MA) opens $91.80 rapidly; only a close above $97.50 flips the tape.
Bearish
Oct 15, 2026, 8:25 PM
96.42 sits 3% below the 99.50 swing high; a close above 97.80 (Aug consolidation ceiling) opens the $100 psychological level. Gold's +1.6% surge signals a risk-off/supply-fear bid that historically co-moves with crude.
Bullish
Oct 15, 2026, 1:24 PM
94.55 holds above the 200-day MA at ~$91 — break above $96.80 (Sep swing high) opens a run to $100 round number resistance. Soft USD and gold at $4,155 confirm commodity demand is live.
Bullish
Oct 15, 2026, 3:33 AM
$96 cap holds — break above needed to confirm bull continuation toward $102.50. Shadow-fleet sanctions relief proposal and OPEC+ 900k bpd output surge both cap upside; Hormuz attacks and a 3.2M-bbl US inventory draw underpin dips.
Neutral
Oct 14, 2026, 8:25 PM
Consolidates at 94.19 between 200-day MA support ~91.50 and 2026 swing high resistance ~96.80; a daily close above 96.80 opens the door to triple digits — watch EIA inventories for the catalyst.
Bullish
Oct 14, 2026, 1:24 PM
$94.44 sits just below the $95 round-number ceiling — a daily close above opens $97.50 (Sept swing high). Bulls hold the 50-day MA at $91.20 and must defend it; failure there shifts momentum sharply to bears targeting $88.
Bullish
Oct 14, 2026, 3:34 AM
94.07 sits 1.5% below key resistance at 95.50 (Sept swing high). Break above opens $98–$100. Failure to clear that level on this third test risks a pullback to 91.50 support. Direction decided at 95.50.
Bullish
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