Crude Oil (WTI)

Bullish

Archived analysis from Oct 13, 2026, 8:24 PM

Key insight

$95 analyst ceiling is the gatekeeping level — break above it flips near-term sentiment decisively bullish; failure keeps WTI rangebound between 50-day MA at $89.35 and Sep high at $105.83.

Holds above 50-day MA ($89.35) after 3-day rally; Hormuz tanker strikes and Houthi airport attacks sustain a geopolitical risk premium offsetting Russian diesel supply headwinds.

Main risk

Trump lifts Russian diesel import ban

300,000+ tonnes of Russian diesel (≈2.25 mb) entering global markets pressures refined-product cracks and crude demand outlook.

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