Crude Oil (WTI)

Bearish

Archived analysis from Oct 12, 2026, 3:34 AM

Key insight

$90 floor cracked on ceasefire news — WTI trades $89.37, below 100-day SMA zone; Hormuz tanker attacks and Houthi strikes on Riyadh airport cap the downside, leaving the market in a tug-of-war between supply-risk bulls and ceasefire bears.

Dropped -2.16% to $89.37 as Trump's Russia-Ukraine energy ceasefire removes a key supply-risk premium; $90 round-number support now broken intraday.

Main risk

Russia-Ukraine Energy Ceasefire Reversal

Ceasefire collapses or Hormuz attacks escalate — risk premium snaps back; $92.25 Bollinger mid-band reclaimed fast.

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