Analysis archive

Crude Oil (WTI)

Recommendation history — all past assessments at a glance. View current analysis →

Aug 20, 2026, 3:36 AM
$84.31 sits in no-man's land between the 200-day MA near $82.50 and the July swing high at $86.20 — a break of either defines the next 5-point move.
Neutral
Aug 19, 2026, 1:59 PM
$84–$85 acts as pivot: break above $85.50 (June swing high) opens $88; close below $82.50 (50-day MA) flips short-term trend bearish. Gold surging +2.9% signals risk-off/USD-soft bid, not pure oil bullishness.
Neutral
Aug 19, 2026, 3:36 AM
84.78 trades above 200-day MA at 82.50 and eyes 86.50 resistance. Break above opens 89.00 — the 2026 swing high. Failure to hold 83.00 (50-day MA) would shift bias back to neutral near-term.
Bullish
Aug 18, 2026, 8:26 PM
$84.25 sits in a compression zone between $82.00 support and $85.50 (50-day MA). Break either side with volume defines next 3–5 point leg. OPEC+ supply discipline and USD/JPY at 159.7 are the swing factors.
Neutral
Aug 18, 2026, 2:00 PM
84.43 trades above key 50-day MA while S&P 500 falls 0.5% — WTI decoupling from equity weakness points to supply-side support; break above 85.50 (Aug swing high) opens 87.80.
Bullish
Aug 18, 2026, 3:34 AM
84.31 trades above key 200-day MA (~$82) while S&P 500 dips 0.3% — crude's relative strength signals supply-driven bid. Break above $85.50 Aug resistance opens run to $88.
Bullish
Aug 17, 2026, 8:25 PM
83.82 sits in no-man's land: 85.00 round-number resistance capped three rallies this year; a clean close above flips the short-term bias bullish toward 87.50.
Neutral
Aug 17, 2026, 1:59 PM
82.00 (200-day MA) is the pivotal level: reclaiming it on a weekly close opens 84.50; rejection sends price back toward the 79.60 50-day MA support.
Neutral
Aug 17, 2026, 3:34 AM
$81.61 holds key round-number support after 5%+ weekly rally; Hormuz deadlock + US naval blockade of Iran sustain upside pressure toward $84.70 resistance.
Bullish
Aug 14, 2026, 8:24 PM
81.61 stalls between 200-day MA near 79.50 and 2026 swing high at 84.10 — direction hinges on OPEC supply signals.
Neutral
Aug 14, 2026, 1:27 PM
Stalled at 81.00 round number; IEA Q3 supply-deficit upgrade vs. 17.4 mb inventory build creates two-way risk
Neutral
Aug 14, 2026, 3:38 AM
$80.59 holds 50-day MA — Hormuz resolution or breakdown needed to break the $78–$83 range either way.
Neutral
Aug 13, 2026, 8:28 PM
Strait of Hormuz negotiations deadlocked — resolution would crater price; IEA sees Q3 supply deficit doubling
Neutral
Aug 13, 2026, 1:28 PM
80.35 snaps 5-day rally — Hormuz deal stalled, 17.4 mb inventory build crushes near-term bull case
Bearish
Aug 13, 2026, 12:16 PM
$80.50 (50-day MA) now the line in the sand — close below opens $78 retest; Hormuz outcome drives next $5 move.
Bearish
Aug 13, 2026, 3:34 AM
81.37 snaps five-session advance — Hormuz stalemate and speculative long liquidation expose $79.50 50-day MA.
Bearish
Aug 12, 2026, 8:24 PM
Break above $84.61 overnight high opens door to $87 Brent parity zone; Hormuz deadlock is the only driver.
Bullish
Aug 12, 2026, 1:57 PM
$81.83 holds above 50-day MA ~$80.50; Hormuz resolution deal would crater price, closure extension targets $87+.
Bullish
Aug 12, 2026, 3:34 AM
$83.08 holds after 4-day rally; Strait of Hormuz blockade intact — break above $84.61 opens $87 Brent parity.
Bullish
Aug 11, 2026, 8:21 PM
Hormuz risk premium re-priced higher: US-Iran talks stalled, Houthi strike on Saudi refinery adds second supply shock.
Bullish
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