Crude Oil (WTI)

Neutral

Archived analysis from Aug 14, 2026, 1:27 PM

Key insight

Stalled at 81.00 round number; IEA Q3 supply-deficit upgrade vs. 17.4 mb inventory build creates two-way risk

80.53 holds after 5-session rally; Hormuz diplomacy stalemate keeps bulls and bears in balance

Main risk

Strait of Hormuz resolution

US-Iran deal reopening Hormuz would flush geopolitical risk premium, targeting 74.00–75.00

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