Analysis archive

Crude Oil (WTI)

Recommendation history — all past assessments at a glance. View current analysis →

Nov 2, 2026, 4:36 AM
$100 round number lost on a -2.42% session — next structural support is the 50-day MA near $97.50. Failure there opens a swift move to $95.00 prior swing low.
Bearish
Oct 30, 2026, 9:25 PM
$102.36 holds while S&P drops 1.1% and gold craters 3.7% — oil's decoupling from risk-off points to a supply squeeze, not demand. Break above $105 opens $108 swing high.
Bullish
Oct 30, 2026, 2:24 PM
103.80 holds above the 100-day MA (~$101.20) and key $103 round number. Divergence from falling equities and gold underscores supply premium. Break above $105.50 opens $108.40 2026 high.
Bullish
Oct 30, 2026, 4:34 AM
102.53 trades above key 100.00 support — a close above 104.50 (Oct swing high) opens 107.20 (2026 range top). Supply-side OPEC+ cuts and USD/JPY at 158.5 signal sticky inflation keeping oil bid.
Bullish
Oct 29, 2026, 9:23 PM
102.22 trades above key 100.00 round number; break above 104.50 (Aug swing high) opens 107.00. US tech selloff (-1.9% Nasdaq) has not dragged oil lower — supply-side bid intact.
Bullish
Oct 29, 2026, 2:25 PM
$100 round number is the fulcrum: close below it opens $96.50 gap support; reclaim of $103.20 (50-day MA) flips bias bullish. Watch weekly close for confirmation.
Neutral
Oct 29, 2026, 4:34 AM
$100 round number holds as live support; break below triggers flush to 50-day MA near $97.80. Resistance at $102.50 prior swing high must clear to confirm bullish leg toward $106.
Neutral
Oct 28, 2026, 9:24 PM
$101.46 now trades above the $100 round-number pivot — hold above this level confirms the trend reversal. Next resistance at $103.50 (50-day MA). A weekly close above $100 would be the first since Q3 2026.
Bullish
Oct 28, 2026, 2:25 PM
100.00 psychological level now flipped to support — hold above it and 105.00 (2026 swing high) comes into play. Lose it and the 50-day MA near 97.50 becomes the next defence.
Bullish
Oct 28, 2026, 4:36 AM
$100 reclaimed and holding — bulls need a weekly close above $101.50 (2025 swing high) to confirm breakout; failure to hold $99.20 flips intraday structure bearish.
Bullish
Oct 27, 2026, 9:27 PM
100.00 round-number resistance held intraday; close below drags focus to 97.80 (50-day MA). USD/JPY pinned at 158.5 caps commodity upside while OPEC+ spare capacity above 3 mb/d limits squeeze potential.
Bearish
Oct 27, 2026, 2:24 PM
$100 reclaimed and held — next test is $103.50 Aug swing high. Break there opens $107.20. Flat 24h print masks tight supply; downside needs a macro shock to break $97.80 support.
Bullish
Oct 27, 2026, 4:36 AM
$100 psychological level acting as pivot — break below 200-day MA at $98.50 opens $95.40 Fib target; reclaim of $103.50 swing high flips near-term bias bullish.
Neutral
Oct 26, 2026, 9:25 PM
$100 round number acting as contested pivot — bulls need a close above $103.50 swing high to re-accelerate; bears need a break of $98.50 200-day MA to open $95 target.
Neutral
Oct 26, 2026, 2:25 PM
$100 round-number support is the line in the sand — a daily close below it opens a drop to the 50-day MA near $97.80, while $103 must reclaim to revive the bull case.
Bearish
Oct 26, 2026, 4:40 AM
$100 round number is the line in the sand: hold it and risk/reward favours a bounce to $103.50; lose it and next structure is $97.80 (200-day MA). Today's -1% move puts that test live.
Bearish
Oct 23, 2026, 8:26 PM
98.26 consolidating just below the $100 psychological ceiling; a close above 100.00 opens 101.50 (2026 swing high) and negates the two-week stall pattern.
Bullish
Oct 23, 2026, 1:26 PM
$100 psychological resistance is the line — break and hold above it opens $105. Aramco Dhahran evacuation and tanker strikes add acute supply-shock risk; RSI at 64 leaves room before overbought.
Bullish
Oct 23, 2026, 3:36 AM
$100 round number is the immediate trigger — break and hold above unlocks $105. Saudi Aramco Dhahran evacuation and Strait of Hormuz threats keep geopolitical premium bid; bulls hold structural advantage above all key SMAs.
Bullish
Oct 22, 2026, 8:24 PM
$98.26 sits just below the $100 round-number ceiling; a decisive close above unlocks $103–$105, while failure re-opens the 50-day MA near $94. USD/JPY at 158.5 keeps dollar-denominated oil demand subdued.
Neutral
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