Analysis archive

Crude Oil (WTI)

Recommendation history — all past assessments at a glance. View current analysis →

Sep 25, 2026, 8:25 PM
Break above 93.50 (Aug swing high) opens 96.00 — momentum is constructive while price trades above the 90-day MA at 89.20, but a weekly close below $91 would warn of a fade.
Bullish
Sep 25, 2026, 1:26 PM
$92.02 breach of 50-day MA at $93.50 shifts near-term bias bearish; next key floor is the 200-day MA at $89.40. Reclaim of $93.50 needed to neutralise the sell signal.
Bearish
Sep 25, 2026, 3:36 AM
$93.00 flipped to resistance — hold below it keeps bears in control; next firm floor is the 200-day MA at $89.80. Friday close below $92.20 (50-day MA) opens the $88–$89 range.
Bearish
Sep 24, 2026, 8:35 PM
94.94 consolidates below 97.00 — break above unlocks 100.00 psychological target; hold above 92.50 (200-day MA) keeps the bullish thesis valid and dip-buyers engaged.
Bullish
Sep 24, 2026, 1:33 PM
93.31 tests the Aug swing high at 93.50 — break and close above opens 95.00 round number then the 2026 YTD high at 97.40. Equities sliding (-0.4% S&P) limits risk appetite but USD softness (EUR/USD 1.1371) supports commodity demand.
Bullish
Sep 24, 2026, 3:36 AM
$91.05 sits between the 50-day MA near $90.20 and the $93.50 supply zone. Lose $90.20 and the next floor is the $87.80 August swing low — a clean 3.5% downside open from here.
Bearish
Sep 23, 2026, 8:37 PM
$92.55 holds as Hormuz risk premium reasserts — Iran's UNGA rejection of nuclear limits and two struck supertankers on Sep 22 make a diplomatic de-escalation the key variable, not demand.
Bullish
Sep 23, 2026, 1:26 PM
$90.89 trades just below the key $92 resistance (Aug swing high); Hormuz disruption risk keeps a floor under price — break above $92 opens $96–$98 corridor.
Bullish
Sep 23, 2026, 3:38 AM
$90 lost intraday — next hard support is the 200-day MA at $87.40; a close beneath $89 opens a move to $85.60 Aug swing low. OPEC+ spare capacity and USD firmness cap upside near $91.20.
Bearish
Sep 22, 2026, 8:25 PM
$89.20 (50-day MA) is the line in the sand — a daily close below it opens $86.50 gap support. Gold +0.4% and silver +1.7% today signal macro unease, not oil-bullish reflation.
Bearish
Sep 22, 2026, 1:24 PM
$90 round number flipped to resistance on today's close; next structural support is $87.40 (50-day MA). Divergence from rising equities flags demand-side pressure as the dominant driver, not supply.
Bearish
Sep 22, 2026, 3:34 AM
93.06 tests the 2025 swing high cluster near $94–95; a clean break opens $98.50 (Fib 61.8% of the 2022–2023 decline). Failure to hold $90 flips the structure bearish. Supply cuts and a weak dollar are the twin engines of this rally.
Bullish
Sep 21, 2026, 8:25 PM
$92 is range midpoint: break above $94.80 Aug swing high opens $97–$98 supply zone; lose $89.50 200-day MA and $85 becomes the next structural floor.
Neutral
Sep 21, 2026, 1:27 PM
$93.02 sits 7% below last week's $100 spike high; Saudi pipeline rerouting via Hormuz absorbs supply shock. Hold $95.00 reclaim as bull/bear line of scrimmage this week.
Bearish
Sep 21, 2026, 3:34 AM
$93.94 rejection confirms $95 as resistance; next key test is the 50-day MA near $91.50. Bear pressure holds while WTI trades below $95 and OPEC+ supply headlines remain absent.
Bearish
Sep 18, 2026, 8:30 PM
$95.77 stalls below 50-day MA at $97.50 while gold surges +0.9% and BTC +5.9% — risk-on rotation bypassing crude; next directional move requires a weekly close above $97.50 or below $93.50.
Neutral
Sep 18, 2026, 1:27 PM
$98 caps near-term upside — break above $100.20 (2026 round-number resistance) opens $104.50 swing high. European equity weakness (-1.2%) and USD/JPY at 157.7 signal risk-off cross-currents that cap rally extension.
Bullish
Sep 18, 2026, 3:35 AM
$97 holds key Fibonacci 38.2% retracement of the Sep spike; geopolitical floor remains intact — Saudi East-West pipeline outage unresolved, Rapidan flags escalation risk if disruption extends past Sep.
Bullish
Sep 17, 2026, 8:25 PM
$97.16 sits in no-man's land between $95.40 support (50-day MA) and $99.20 resistance (Aug swing high) — break of either resolves the range; gold's 1.9% rally flags macro unease, not supply optimism.
Neutral
Sep 17, 2026, 1:25 PM
$96.14 rejected at $97 round resistance; gold +2.3% and silver +3.8% surge signals flight-to-safety bid, leaving oil isolated as the weakest commodity. Hold below $97.50 targets $93.50 prior swing low.
Bearish
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