Analysis archive
Crude Oil (WTI)
Recommendation history — all past assessments at a glance. View current analysis →
Nov 10, 2026, 9:25 PM
85.50 sits in a compression zone between 84.00 support and 87.50 resistance; a decisive break either side sets the next 4–5 dollar leg — watch daily close for confirmation.
Nov 10, 2026, 2:23 PM
$83.71 breaks below $85 round support — 50-day MA near $84.50 now flipped resistance; next meaningful floor is the $82.00 prior swing low. Sustained close under $84 tilts short-term bias firmly bearish.
Nov 10, 2026, 4:35 AM
$85 holding as near-term floor, but 200-day MA at $87 caps rallies. Break below $83.50 (Oct swing low) opens $80 — the 2026 demand-trough support. No catalyst visible for a sustained move higher.
Nov 9, 2026, 9:29 PM
$86.23 breaks the 50-day MA at $88.50 on a day risk assets rally hard — oil's refusal to participate flags macro demand worry. Next key floor is $84.40 (Aug swing low); a close below opens $80.
Nov 9, 2026, 2:27 PM
$86.12 trades beneath the 50-day MA ($87.50) and 2026 rising trendline — next structural floor is $84.40 (200-day MA). Equity rally offers no support; gold and silver rising confirm dollar weakness, not oil demand.
Nov 9, 2026, 4:34 AM
90.47 sits between 200-day MA support at 88.50 and the 92.00 swing resistance — break above 92.00 opens a run to 95.00; failure re-tests 88.50 fast.
Nov 6, 2026, 9:24 PM
$90 round number and 200-day MA at $91.50 capping every rally — bulls need a weekly close above $91.50 to shift bias; until then, $86.20 prior swing low is the magnet on further dollar strength.
Nov 6, 2026, 2:24 PM
$90 round number capping price — four consecutive daily closes below this level confirm supply-side pressure. Break of $88.50 Aug swing low opens $85.20 (200-day MA).
Nov 6, 2026, 4:34 AM
$91.18 holds above 50-day MA ($89.50) and $90 round number — break above $92.50 Oct swing high opens $95 target; failure at $90 flips structure bearish with $87 exposed.
Nov 5, 2026, 9:25 PM
89.80 holds above the 200-day MA near $87.50 while equities collapse — this safe-haven commodity bid is rare and signals genuine supply fear, not just momentum. Break above $91.50 opens $95.
Nov 5, 2026, 2:25 PM
$89.23 clears the 200-day MA at $87.50 — first clean close above that level in weeks. Hold above $88 on any pullback confirms the breakout; failure returns price to $85.60 support fast.
Nov 5, 2026, 4:34 AM
86.29 sits between 50-day MA breakdown and $84.50 key horizontal support — failure to reclaim $87.50 within 48h opens a move to $84.50 then $82.00 200-day MA.
Nov 4, 2026, 9:25 PM
$87.92 prints while S&P 500 gains 1.5% and gold surges 3.4% — oil's crash is idiosyncratic, not risk-off. Break below $90 opens path to 200-day MA near $85.50; reclaim of $90 needed to stabilise.
Nov 4, 2026, 2:24 PM
$92.43 sits just above 200-day MA near $91.50 — lose that and $88 swing low opens fast. Gold at $4,043 and USD softness (EUR/USD +0.7%) point to stagflation hedging, not oil demand recovery.
Nov 4, 2026, 4:34 AM
$94.50 sits just above the key $93.00 support cluster — a close below that opens a fast run toward $89.00. Risk-off tone across all major equity markets adds weight; gold's bid (+0.5%) confirms flight-to-safety, not oil-bull rotation.
Nov 3, 2026, 9:24 PM
96.09 sits in a compression zone between $95 round support and $99.50 swing high — a clean break above $97.80 (200-day MA) opens the door to triple digits within days.
Nov 3, 2026, 2:25 PM
$95 rejected for the second session running; 200-day MA at $96.50 is the line bulls must reclaim or the path to $91 opens fast. OPEC+ supply discipline is the only structural floor.
Nov 3, 2026, 4:35 AM
$95–96 base holding while equities sell off — divergence favours oil bulls if OPEC+ supply discipline holds and USD stays range-bound near EUR/USD 1.1189.
Nov 2, 2026, 9:26 PM
$95.29 trades below the 50-day MA — a close here opens $92 (100-day MA) as next downside target. Gold/oil divergence (+1.9% vs -6.9%) flags macro shock, not routine profit-taking.
Nov 2, 2026, 2:24 PM
$96.80 breaches the $100 round number and 50-day MA in one session — next structural support is the 200-day MA near $93.50. Gold +1.8% and silver +3.6% confirm macro stress, not supply relief.
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