Crude Oil (WTI)

Bullish

Archived analysis from Oct 28, 2026, 4:36 AM

Key insight

$100 reclaimed and holding — bulls need a weekly close above $101.50 (2025 swing high) to confirm breakout; failure to hold $99.20 flips intraday structure bearish.

Breaks above $100 round number for first time since 2023, +1.45% today. Supply tightness via OPEC+ cuts and geopolitical risk premium sustain upward pressure above the 200-day MA at $97.40.

Main risk

Global demand slowdown — China

Softer Chinese industrial data threatens demand assumptions; a break below $97.40 (200-day MA) would expose $94.60 next.

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