Analysis archive

EUR/USD

Recommendation history — all past assessments at a glance. View current analysis →

Aug 28, 2026, 1:30 PM
1.1650 EMA50 support under siege — break below targets 1.1600 round number, then 1.1560 Aug swing low. Double top at 1.1712 caps any recovery; Fed Jackson Hole tone is the binary trigger this session.
Bearish
Aug 28, 2026, 3:40 AM
1.1649 sits in no-man's land between 1.15 200-week MA floor and 1.17 multi-year resistance — a daily close above 1.17 or below 1.15 is needed to set the next 200-pip directional leg.
Neutral
Aug 27, 2026, 9:06 PM
1.1700 round-number resistance tested flat after strong multi-month rally; break and weekly close above opens 1.1850 2023 swing high. Failure here risks pullback to 50-day MA near 1.1450.
Bullish
Aug 26, 2026, 8:31 PM
1.1700 capped the rally; daily close below 1.1650 opens a retest of 1.1580 200-day MA. USD bid confirmed across majors — GBP/USD -0.4%, EUR/USD -0.2% — while US equities hold near all-time highs, reducing safe-haven EUR demand.
Bearish
Aug 26, 2026, 1:47 PM
1.1656 tests the 10-day MA — a daily close below 1.1640 opens a retest of the 1.1550 June consolidation base. Hold above 1.1640 keeps the broader uptrend intact toward 1.1800.
Bearish
Aug 26, 2026, 3:39 AM
1.1750 is the gatekeeper — rejection there keeps bears in control toward 1.1580 (100-day MA); only a daily close above flips the bias to a retest of 1.1900.
Neutral
Aug 25, 2026, 8:29 PM
1.17 handle defended for second consecutive session; break above 1.1750 opens 2022 resistance at 1.1900. Dollar weakness driven by falling real yields keeps EUR bid near-term.
Bullish
Aug 25, 2026, 1:31 PM
1.17 psychological resistance tested — sustained close above triggers acceleration toward 2025 high at 1.1850. USD weakness from Fed's on-hold stance vs. ECB's higher-for-longer posture drives the bid.
Bullish
Aug 24, 2026, 8:32 PM
1.17 caps intraday — break and close above flips bias to 1.1850; failure risks pullback to 1.1480 50-day MA. Gold at $4,651 and soft USD across the board keep downside shallow.
Neutral
Aug 24, 2026, 1:30 PM
1.17 holds as bull control line — break above 1.1750 opens 1.1850 measured by 2024-2025 base. Gold at 4,674 and BTC +2.4% confirm broad USD weakness; risk is a squeeze back to 1.1550 50-day MA on any surprise Fed hawkishness.
Bullish
Aug 24, 2026, 3:40 AM
1.17 resistance zone being tested — a weekly close above 1.1750 opens the 2021 high at 1.2350; failure here reloads a pullback to the 50-day MA at 1.1350.
Bullish
Aug 21, 2026, 8:29 PM
1.17 acts as pivot — sustained close above opens 1.1850 (2023 swing high). Failure to hold flips focus to 1.1550 200-day MA. Gold +2.2% confirms risk-off USD weakness as the dominant driver today.
Bullish
Aug 21, 2026, 1:29 PM
1.17 resistance cluster tested — break and weekly close above it opens 1.1850 (2022 high). Gold at $4,584 and BTC +6% confirm broad USD flight; EUR/USD stays supported unless US data shocks higher.
Bullish
Aug 21, 2026, 3:40 AM
1.17 cleared and holding — next resistance at 2023 swing high 1.1275 already surpassed; 1.1850 is the critical bull target. USD weakness via soft Fed tone and gold at $4,532 confirms risk-off dollar selling.
Bullish
Aug 20, 2026, 8:44 PM
1.1677 holds the 1.15 breakout base; a close above 1.1750 opens 1.19 2025 swing high. USD/JPY at 159.1 absorbs dollar bulls, leaving EUR/USD bid on dips.
Bullish
Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM
1.17 big-figure holds as near-term base; break above 1.1750 2026 swing high opens 1.1900. Dollar softness across GBP (+0.3%) and JPY confirms broad USD selling, not EUR-specific strength.
Bullish
Aug 20, 2026, 3:40 AM
1.1677 consolidates near 2025 highs — break above 1.1750 opens 1.20; USD/JPY at 158.4 and gold -0.7% signal mixed dollar tone, not a reversal.
Bullish
Aug 19, 2026, 2:06 PM
1.1649 trades at multi-year highs — break above 1.1700 round resistance opens the 2022 swing high at 1.1495 on the downside and targets 1.1900 on the upside; gold's 2.9% surge signals broad USD flight.
Bullish
Aug 19, 2026, 3:40 AM
1.16 reclaimed and held; next resistance at 2023 high of 1.1275 already cleared — eyes on 1.1700 round number. USD weakness via softer real yields drives EUR bid; ECB holding rates while Fed pivots narrows the differential.
Bullish
Aug 18, 2026, 8:31 PM
1.1600 round number caps the rally — four consecutive daily closes below it confirm resistance. Break above opens 1.1700; failure and close below 1.1480 50-day MA flips structure bearish.
Neutral
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