EUR/USD
BearishArchived analysis from Sep 25, 2026, 8:29 PM
Key insight
Trades below 20-day EMA (1.1501) for a third week running; Friday's bounce to 1.1400 looks corrective — any rally into 1.1420–1.1500 is a potential re-entry short while USD supported by hawkish Fed and rising oil.
Fell to 1.1359 on Jul 28 — lowest since Jul 28 — third straight weekly loss as hawkish Fed remarks and strong US PMI push dollar to 2-month highs; 20-day EMA at 1.1501 now firm resistance.
Main risk
US-Iran Geopolitical Escalation
Rising oil above $92 fuels inflation fears; second Treasury buyback in two weeks failed to stem bond selloff, keeping USD bid and EUR/USD capped.
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