Analysis archive

EUR/USD

Recommendation history — all past assessments at a glance. View current analysis →

Sep 25, 2026, 8:29 PM
Trades below 20-day EMA (1.1501) for a third week running; Friday's bounce to 1.1400 looks corrective — any rally into 1.1420–1.1500 is a potential re-entry short while USD supported by hawkish Fed and rising oil.
Bearish
Sep 25, 2026, 1:29 PM
1.1406 consolidates near multi-month highs; a weekly close above 1.1400 confirms bullish structure and opens 1.1500 as next key resistance. Dollar weakness — evidenced by JPY strength — is the primary fuel.
Bullish
Sep 25, 2026, 3:39 AM
1.1370 holds as intraday floor; break above 1.1400 round number needed to confirm bullish bias — failure keeps 1.1280 Fibonacci 38.2% retracement in play as next downside magnet.
Neutral
Sep 24, 2026, 8:37 PM
1.1400 round number acting as near-term ceiling; break above 1.1450 (2026 swing high) needed to resume trend, while failure at 1.1350 risks a retest of 1.1200 50-day MA.
Neutral
Sep 24, 2026, 1:36 PM
1.14 round number rejected intraday — pair trades 1.1371 with oil at $93.3 lifting USD demand; break above 1.1450 (2026 swing high) needed to confirm bull trend extension toward 1.1550.
Neutral
Sep 24, 2026, 3:40 AM
1.1381 holds but lacks momentum — break above 1.1440 (50-day MA resistance) needed to target 1.1500; failure re-opens 1.1250 swing support. Cross-market: equities soft, Gold flat, Oil -1% mildly USD-supportive.
Neutral
Sep 23, 2026, 8:41 PM
1.1386 trades below 1.14 round number — next key support is the 50-day MA near 1.1320; a close under 1.1350 opens a retest of the 100-day MA at 1.1200. USD/JPY at 158.3 signals the dollar move is broad-based, not EUR-specific.
Bearish
Sep 23, 2026, 1:32 PM
1.1400 now acting as intraday pivot; failure to reclaim 9-EMA at 1.1509 keeps near-term bias short. Next technical floor is Jul swing low at 1.1350.
Bearish
Sep 23, 2026, 3:41 AM
1.1431 holds but momentum fades — break below 1.1380 (50-day MA zone) opens a retest of 1.1200 key support; only a close above 1.1500 re-establishes the bull trend.
Neutral
Sep 22, 2026, 8:28 PM
1.1449 consolidates below the 1.1500 round-number resistance — a daily close above 1.1500 opens 1.1600, while a break of 1.1350 support targets the 50-day MA near 1.1200.
Neutral
Sep 22, 2026, 1:27 PM
1.1500 is acting as a ceiling — break and close above 1.1550 (2024 swing high) needed to confirm trend extension; failure here keeps a pullback to 1.1350 (50-day MA) on the table.
Neutral
Sep 22, 2026, 3:38 AM
1.1500 round number confirmed as support; next resistance at 1.1600 (2023 high). Dollar index soft amid Fed pause expectations and elevated Oil supporting EUR terms-of-trade. Bulls need weekly close above 1.1500 to validate breakout.
Bullish
Sep 21, 2026, 8:29 PM
1.1500 round number rejected intraday — pair now trades 1.1465, below prior swing resistance; a daily close under 1.1450 opens a retest of the 1.1380 Fibonacci 38.2% retracement.
Bearish
Sep 21, 2026, 1:30 PM
1.1500 capping gains — break and hold above triggers a run at 1.1600 (2025 swing high). Failure to clear sends price back to 1.1350 (50-day MA). Direction decided by next Fed/ECB guidance shift.
Neutral
Sep 21, 2026, 3:38 AM
1.1477 trades below key 1.15 round resistance — sustained close above flips bias bullish toward 1.1600. Failure here reopens 1.1320 50-day MA. Oil drop to $93.9 limits USD safe-haven bid, complicating the setup.
Neutral
Sep 18, 2026, 8:33 PM
1.1487 holds below 20-day EMA (1.1564) after FOMC hike — close above 1.1564 needed to neutralise near-term bear pressure; failure re-targets 1.1400.
Bearish
Sep 18, 2026, 1:31 PM
1.1466 sits in a compression zone between 1.1420 (50-day MA) and 1.1550 (2025 swing high). European equities sliding 1.0–1.2% signals risk-off that could tip the pair toward dollar strength.
Neutral
Sep 18, 2026, 3:39 AM
1.15 psychological resistance tested — a weekly close above it opens the 2023 high near 1.1275... wait, EUR/USD at 1.1484 is already above 1.15 on the snapshot; momentum stays bullish while 1.1400 holds as intraday support.
Bullish
Sep 17, 2026, 8:28 PM
1.15 round-number resistance tested — sustained close above triggers extension toward 2022 swing high at 1.1640. USD/JPY sliding to 156.0 confirms broad dollar softness; EUR/USD base is solid above 1.1350 Fib support.
Bullish
Sep 17, 2026, 1:28 PM
1.1500 round number cleared intraday; sustaining above opens 1.1600 (2023 swing high). USD/JPY -0.4% and Gold +2.3% confirm broad dollar weakness — EUR bid likely extends if risk stays on.
Bullish
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