EUR/USD

Neutral

Archived analysis from Sep 25, 2026, 3:39 AM

Key insight

1.1370 holds as intraday floor; break above 1.1400 round number needed to confirm bullish bias — failure keeps 1.1280 Fibonacci 38.2% retracement in play as next downside magnet.

Holds 1.1370 but stalls below 2023 high near 1.1275 resistance — USD soft on Fed pause expectations while ECB signals caution, leaving pair range-bound near key 1.14 round number.

Main risk

USD Reversal on Strong US Data

Surprise beat in US PCE or NFP could reignite USD demand, pushing EURUSD below 1.1280 Fib support and negating the current neutral drift.

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