EUR/USD
NeutralArchived analysis from Sep 24, 2026, 8:37 PM
Key insight
1.1400 round number acting as near-term ceiling; break above 1.1450 (2026 swing high) needed to resume trend, while failure at 1.1350 risks a retest of 1.1200 50-day MA.
Holds 1.1375 after fading from 2026 highs — USD/JPY at 158.9 signals residual dollar bid, capping EUR upside ahead of key central bank speeches this week.
Main risk
Fed hawkish pivot risk
Oil at $94.9 keeps US CPI elevated; any Fed pushback on cuts crushes EUR/USD below 1.1300 50-day MA zone fast.
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