EUR/USD

Neutral

Archived analysis from Sep 24, 2026, 1:36 PM

Key insight

1.14 round number rejected intraday — pair trades 1.1371 with oil at $93.3 lifting USD demand; break above 1.1450 (2026 swing high) needed to confirm bull trend extension toward 1.1550.

Stalls at 1.1371 after failing to hold above 1.14 round number; USD finds footing as USD/JPY rises to 158.8 and risk assets sell off, capping EUR upside near key resistance.

Main risk

USD resurgence on oil / risk-off

Oil +1.4% to $93.3 and equity weakness lift USD; rejection at 1.14 opens retest of 1.1280 200-day MA.

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