EUR/USD

Neutral

Archived analysis from Sep 23, 2026, 3:41 AM

Key insight

1.1431 holds but momentum fades — break below 1.1380 (50-day MA zone) opens a retest of 1.1200 key support; only a close above 1.1500 re-establishes the bull trend.

Stalls at 1.1431 after failing to reclaim 1.1500 round number; USD/JPY rising to 157.6 signals residual dollar demand, capping EUR upside near 2025 highs.

Main risk

USD Rebound on Resilient US Data

Stronger-than-expected US activity data could lift DXY above 102, pushing EURUSD back below 1.1300 swing support.

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