EUR/USD
NeutralArchived analysis from Sep 22, 2026, 1:27 PM
Key insight
1.1500 is acting as a ceiling — break and close above 1.1550 (2024 swing high) needed to confirm trend extension; failure here keeps a pullback to 1.1350 (50-day MA) on the table.
Stalls at 1.1500 round-number resistance after a multi-month USD selloff; pair trades just below the 2024 high near 1.1550, keeping bulls in control structurally but momentum fading near-term.
Main risk
Fed / ECB policy divergence re-pricing
Renewed USD demand on any hawkish Fed signal or ECB dovish surprise could drive EURUSD back below 1.1350 support quickly.
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