EUR/USD
BullishArchived analysis from Sep 17, 2026, 8:28 PM
Key insight
1.15 round-number resistance tested — sustained close above triggers extension toward 2022 swing high at 1.1640. USD/JPY sliding to 156.0 confirms broad dollar softness; EUR/USD base is solid above 1.1350 Fib support.
Holds 1.1474 spot with bullish structure intact above the 200-day MA near 1.1200; Gold surging +1.9% and Silver +3.7% signal broad USD weakness that favours EUR continuation.
Main risk
Fed hawkish pivot risk
Surprise Fed rate-hold or hawkish guidance crushes EUR/USD back below 1.1350, invalidating the breakout above 1.15.
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