EUR/USD
BullishArchived analysis from Sep 7, 2026, 3:42 AM
Key insight
1.1611 consolidates above 1.1600 pivot — a clean weekly close above 1.1650 opens the 2023 high at 1.1275... no, targets 1.1800. Dollar softness structural; ECB rate path is the key swing variable near-term.
Holds 1.1600 round number with USD/JPY at 156.1 signalling broad dollar softness; EUR/USD near multi-month highs as Fed rate-cut expectations keep the greenback on the back foot.
Main risk
ECB dovish pivot / rate-cut acceleration
Faster ECB cuts than Fed would compress EUR/USD rate differential, pressuring pair back toward 1.1400 200-day MA.
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