EUR/USD
NeutralArchived analysis from Sep 4, 2026, 1:32 PM
Key insight
1.1600 acts as pivot: bulls need a weekly close above 1.1650 to open 1.1720; bears need a break of 1.1540 Fibonacci 38.2% retracement to shift momentum. Friday NFP or Fed speaker risk keeps range intact for now.
1.1600 holds as USD firms across the board — GBP/USD -0.2%, USD/JPY +0.2% — but EUR lacks a fresh catalyst to break above the 1.1650 weekly range high or collapse below 1.1540 fib support.
Main risk
US labour data / Fed speaker risk
Stronger-than-expected US jobs print could push USD/JPY toward 158, dragging EUR/USD below 1.1540 Fib support and triggering stops.
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