EUR/USD
BullishArchived analysis from Sep 4, 2026, 3:38 AM
Key insight
1.1628 trades near multi-year highs; break above 1.1700 round resistance opens 1.1850 (2023 swing high). Failure to clear 1.17 by end of Sept risks pullback to 1.1450 50-day MA.
1.1628 holds above the 1.15 macro pivot — EUR/USD up ~8% YTD as dollar index soft, ECB-Fed rate differential narrows, and oil at $90 adds mild USD headwind.
Main risk
USD rebound on strong NFP surprise
Beats consensus by >100k jobs; pushes DXY back above 101 and drags EUR/USD below 1.1500 50-day MA.
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