EUR/USD

Bullish

Archived analysis from Sep 3, 2026, 8:30 PM

Key insight

1.1629 holds above the 2025 breakout zone near 1.1500 — sustained dollar weakness, with USD/JPY at 155.8 and falling, keeps the path open to the 1.17 round-number target.

Holds 1.1629 with USD/JPY down 1.9% signalling broad dollar softness; Gold +1.9% and Silver +2.5% confirm risk-on, USD-negative flow backing EUR upside toward 1.17.

Main risk

USD safe-haven reversal

Sharp risk-off shock could revive dollar demand; break below 1.1500 would negate the bullish structure and expose 1.1350.

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