EUR/USD
NeutralArchived analysis from Sep 2, 2026, 2:05 PM
Key insight
1.16 round number capping upside; break above confirmed only on daily close over 1.1650 (2026 range highs). Failure to hold 1.1530 (50-day MA) reopens 1.1450 retracement support.
Holds 1.1579 after -0.11% drift — pair is rangebound below the 1.16 round number with USD/JPY at 159.6 signalling residual dollar demand across G10.
Main risk
Fed higher-for-longer vs. ECB cut cycle
Diverging rate paths compress EUR/USD carry appeal — sustained USD bid keeps pair below 1.16 resistance zone.
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