EUR/USD
BearishArchived analysis from Sep 1, 2026, 1:30 PM
Key insight
1.1550 (50-day MA) is the first line in the sand — lose it and 1.1480 opens fast. USD bid is broad: JPY, GBP, EUR all lower while oil spikes, compressing EUR purchasing power advantage.
Pulls back to 1.1591 after stalling below 2025 high near 1.1650; USD firms as equities sell off and oil surges +2.5%, signalling risk-off dollar demand.
Main risk
Oil spike driving USD demand
Oil +2.5% to $87.3 boosts petrodollar recycling flows; sustained above $85 historically pressures EURUSD by 0.5–1.0 big figures.
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