EUR/USD
NeutralArchived analysis from Sep 1, 2026, 3:39 AM
Key insight
1.1600 is the pivot — bulls need a daily close above 1.1650 to target 1.1750; a break below 1.1550 opens 1.1400 quickly. Dollar tone and ECB-Fed divergence drive direction from here.
Holds 1.1600 round-number support but stalls below 1.1650 near-term resistance; USD/JPY at 159.8 signals broad dollar resilience keeping EUR upside capped.
Main risk
Fed vs ECB rate divergence
Fed holding restrictive rates longer than ECB cuts presses EUR/USD toward 1.1400 support; watch September policy signals.
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