EUR/USD
NeutralArchived analysis from Aug 28, 2026, 3:40 AM
Key insight
1.1649 sits in no-man's land between 1.15 200-week MA floor and 1.17 multi-year resistance — a daily close above 1.17 or below 1.15 is needed to set the next 200-pip directional leg.
1.1649 holds above 1.15 structural support but stalls below 1.17 — range-bound into month-end with no clear catalyst to break either side decisively.
Main risk
USD re-strengthening on Fed hold signal
Fed keeping rates elevated into 2026 year-end compresses EUR/USD; break below 1.15 opens 1.1200 fast.
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