EUR/USD

Bullish

Archived analysis from Aug 24, 2026, 1:30 PM

Key insight

1.17 holds as bull control line — break above 1.1750 opens 1.1850 measured by 2024-2025 base. Gold at 4,674 and BTC +2.4% confirm broad USD weakness; risk is a squeeze back to 1.1550 50-day MA on any surprise Fed hawkishness.

Holds 1.1672 with gold surging +1.6% to 4,674 — classic USD weakness signal. EUR/USD near 2025 highs above 1.15 pivot; dollar sell-off intact while safe-havens outperform equities.

Main risk

Fed hawkish pivot / US data surprise

Beat on US jobs or CPI could lift DXY above 100, forcing EUR/USD back below 1.1550 50-day MA rapidly.

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