EUR/USD

Bullish

Archived analysis from Aug 24, 2026, 3:40 AM

Key insight

1.17 resistance zone being tested — a weekly close above 1.1750 opens the 2021 high at 1.2350; failure here reloads a pullback to the 50-day MA at 1.1350.

Holds 1.1681, well above the 200-day MA near 1.08 — multi-month dollar weakness and a resilient EUR keeps the uptrend intact heading into key central bank events.

Main risk

Fed hawkish pivot reversal

Surprise Fed tightening signal would spike DXY above 102, forcing EURUSD back below 1.15 quickly.

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