EUR/USD
BullishArchived analysis from Aug 21, 2026, 8:29 PM
Key insight
1.17 acts as pivot — sustained close above opens 1.1850 (2023 swing high). Failure to hold flips focus to 1.1550 200-day MA. Gold +2.2% confirms risk-off USD weakness as the dominant driver today.
Holds 1.1678 after a multi-month dollar retreat; gold at 4,616 and BTC +6.3% signal broad USD selling pressure that keeps EUR/USD bid near 2025 highs.
Main risk
USD short-squeeze on Fed hawkish pivot
Break above 4.50% on 10-year Treasury yield could trigger USD short-covering, pushing EUR/USD back below 1.1550 fast.
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