EUR/USD
BullishArchived analysis from Aug 21, 2026, 1:29 PM
Key insight
1.17 resistance cluster tested — break and weekly close above it opens 1.1850 (2022 high). Gold at $4,584 and BTC +6% confirm broad USD flight; EUR/USD stays supported unless US data shocks higher.
Holds 1.1688, up ~9% YTD — USD structural weakness driven by fiscal concerns and Fed rate-cut expectations keeps EUR/USD bid above the 2023 high breakout zone at 1.1275.
Main risk
US data surprise / Fed hawkish pivot
Hot US PMI or jobs data could push USD/JPY back above 160 and drag EUR/USD back below 1.1500 Fibonacci support.
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