EUR/USD
NeutralArchived analysis from Aug 18, 2026, 8:31 PM
Key insight
1.1600 round number caps the rally — four consecutive daily closes below it confirm resistance. Break above opens 1.1700; failure and close below 1.1480 50-day MA flips structure bearish.
1.1573 holds near 2026 highs but stalls below 1.1600 round resistance; USD/JPY at 159.7 signals residual dollar demand, capping near-term EUR upside.
Main risk
Fed higher-for-longer reassertion
Fed minutes or hawkish Fed speak re-anchoring 2026 rate-cut timeline above 1 cut forces USD bid, pressuring EUR back toward 1.1300.
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