EUR/USD
NeutralArchived analysis from Aug 18, 2026, 2:07 PM
Key insight
1.16 round number caps the rally; break and close above it opens 1.1750 (2024 swing high). Rejection here risks a pullback to 1.1480 (50-day MA). Direction hinges on next Fed/ECB guidance.
Holds 1.1578 on near-zero 24h change — pair is coiling below the 1.16 round number with USD/JPY at 159.6 signalling residual dollar bid, keeping upside capped.
Main risk
Fed hawkishness resurgence
Surprise Fed rate-hold signal or hot US data print could drive DXY back above 103, pushing EURUSD below 1.1480 support.
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