EUR/USD

Neutral

Archived analysis from Aug 18, 2026, 3:37 AM

Key insight

1.1580 August peak capping momentum — break above opens 1.1700 (June swing high); hold below keeps pair range-bound 1.1400–1.1580.

1.1576 stalls at Aug peak — divergence between Fed (3.75%) and ECB (2.40%) caps upside; USD softness on cooling CPI limits downside.

Main risk

Middle East / Iran deal & oil spike

Renewed Hormuz tensions lifted oil to $84.3; higher energy inflation threatens ECB pause, weakening EUR relative to a safe-haven bid for USD.

With Pro

Levels, scenarios & outlook are only available in the app — for all analyses, including archived ones.