EUR/USD
BullishArchived analysis from Aug 17, 2026, 8:29 PM
Key insight
1.16 reclaimed after multi-year resistance break; next technical target is 1.1750 (2022 swing high). Dollar-negative cross-asset flow — gold at $4,418, silver +1.7% — sustains upward pressure.
Holds 1.1578 with gold +1.0% and BTC +1.9% flagging broad USD weakness; USD/JPY 159.5 confirms dollar offered across the board, keeping EUR/USD bid above the 2025 breakout zone.
Main risk
Fed hawkish pivot / US data upside
Stronger-than-expected US labour or CPI data could revive dollar demand, pushing EUR/USD back below 1.15 breakout support swiftly.
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