EUR/USD

Neutral

Archived analysis from Aug 13, 2026, 8:34 PM

Key insight

1.1527 stalls below Jun swing high 1.1570 — in-line US CPI removes dollar selloff fuel; ECB-Fed gap of 175bp still weighs.

Holds near 8-week high at 1.1527; in-line US CPI caps rally, ECB-Fed rate gap limits euro upside.

Main risk

Strait of Hormuz energy shock

Unresolved closure keeps eurozone inflation elevated, forcing ECB caution vs. Fed at 3.75%.

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