EUR/USD

Neutral

Archived analysis from Aug 12, 2026, 2:03 PM

Key insight

1.1600 round-number test — hold above confirms breakout; failure reloads 1.1480 retest risk ahead of US CPI.

Broke 1.1535 resistance but USD safe-haven bid on Hormuz tensions caps gains near 1.16.

Main risk

US CPI print — Fed hike repricing

Hotter CPI re-prices Sep Fed hike odds, lifting DXY and pressuring 1.1480 support.

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