EUR/USD

Neutral

Archived analysis from Aug 11, 2026, 8:24 PM

Key insight

1.1535–1.1550 resistance reclaimed but 175bps Fed-ECB rate gap caps upside; range 1.14–1.16 prevails.

Stalled at 7-week high 1.1550 — dual-hawkish Fed/ECB stance kills directional conviction.

Main risk

Hormuz deal / oil price shock

Hormuz reopening collapses oil, eases US CPI, revives Fed cut bets — USD bearish reversal risk.

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