EUR/USD

Neutral

Archived analysis from Aug 10, 2026, 1:41 PM

Key insight

1.1570 June-16 swing high caps rally; break above opens 1.1680. Weak NFP limits USD recovery below 1.1480 support.

Pullback to 1.1551 from 1.1570 June-16 high; weak NFP undercuts USD but Fed hike fears cap EUR upside.

Main risk

Fed hike risk — rising Treasury yields

Crude rebound + rising 10Y UST yield revive Sep Fed hike bets, pressure EUR above 1.1550.

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