Crude Oil (WTI)
BullishArchived analysis from Sep 14, 2026, 2:00 PM
Key insight
$100 reclaimed for first time in 4 months — Saudi 7mb/d East-West pipeline closed by drone strikes; Strait of Hormuz blockade removes second route. Structural supply shock, not just sentiment.
$100 psychological level cleared on Saudi East-West pipeline shutdown; 9%+ weekly rally extends to 4-month highs as Iranian blockade severs Persian Gulf flows.
Main risk
Geopolitical De-escalation / Ceasefire
Surprise US-Iran ceasefire would reopen Hormuz and East-West pipeline simultaneously, reversing the entire supply premium — target $85–88 fast.
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